living sounds
Well-known member
http://www.salon.com/2015/10/29/bill_gates_the_private_sector_is_completely_inept_partner/
Gus said:consensus is not science
living sounds said:Gus said:consensus is not science
Well, yes, it is the culmination of a massive interdisciplinary body of scientific work.
Just follow the data.
http://www.michaelshermer.com/2008/04/confessions-of-a-former-environmental-skeptic/
JohnRoberts said:PS: I don't know if I'm smarter than all those scientists but I'm probably smarter than the sheeple blindly following them. I don't respond well to calls to authority, and I remain unconvinced that it's somehow different this time.
So when you lose the argument on call to authority you shift to ad hominum...living sounds said:JohnRoberts said:PS: I don't know if I'm smarter than all those scientists but I'm probably smarter than the sheeple blindly following them. I don't respond well to calls to authority, and I remain unconvinced that it's somehow different this time.
It's the authority of the scientific method. It very much looks to me like you are following the authority of your tribe (US conservatives) instead here.
I am repeating myself but inspection of longer term temperature charts reveal a repeating pattern that in my judgment explains everything.
“Since World War II, U.S.-government R&D has defined the state of the art in almost every area,” Gates told the Atlantic.
Pollution is bad. I want to go fishing and not die from mercury poisoning. I want to swim in lakes. I want my favorite animals to continue to exist. If there are cleaner ways to do things, we should do those things.
I do not advocate heavy metal air pollution ( lets talk to china about that). They pollute everybody's atmosphere while their citizens probably get the brunt of it. Cheap energy has helped raise their standard of living so a trade-off their leaders accepted. Even they are slowly cleaning up their act, as their citizens get wealthier and no longer tolerate such bad conditions, but still a long way to go.jasonallenh said:I use to get into these arguments all the time, and it's pointless...
Pollution is bad. I want to go fishing and not die from mercury poisoning. I want to swim in lakes. I want my favorite animals to continue to exist. If there are cleaner ways to do things, we should do those things. Everything else is just noise.
I wrote a long answer then my computer ate it before I finished... maybe I'll try again later... several points that I felt deserved a response. While most of this has been discussed before.dmp said:I am repeating myself but inspection of longer term temperature charts reveal a repeating pattern that in my judgment explains everything.
We only have one planet - (no control group) - so it is difficult to draw conclusions, of course.
But yes, it is likely that CO2 levels followed temperature in the past (did not cause temperature change, rather was caused by).
However, what is troubling in the data you posted is the sharp vertical red line on the far right. To have CO2 lead temperature is uncharted waters.
To get even more basic - it is illustrative to think of the 1st law of thermodynamics. What are fossil fuels? The storage term.
It is insane to convert all this stored hydrocarbon energy to products in a blink of an eye (geologically speaking). The opinion it will have no effect on the earth is wishful (and delusional) thinking. After all, the earth will be just fine with rapid and radical changes caused by this perturbation, it is humans that flourish with (and rely on) a stable climate. The past few thousand years have had a more stable climate than typical, geologically speaking, and that has been beneficial to humans. Leave it to people to screw up a good thing. Time will tell.
JohnRoberts said:So when you lose the argument on call to authority you shift to ad hominum...
How about attacking my actual thesis that this is just the natural temperature fluctuations we have seen before. The data looks pretty obvious to me. As I've shared before CO2 levels were high during previous interglacials, suggesting the CO2 level follows rather than drives the warming.
If you want to, government can still use this natural temperature variation as an excuse to take wealth for redistribution. There will be displacements and even worse after it shifts to cooling. Just be more honest about what they (you) are doing.
JR
You hold me in lower regard than I hold you... but what else is new?living sounds said:JohnRoberts said:So when you lose the argument on call to authority you shift to ad hominum...
How about attacking my actual thesis that this is just the natural temperature fluctuations we have seen before. The data looks pretty obvious to me. As I've shared before CO2 levels were high during previous interglacials, suggesting the CO2 level follows rather than drives the warming.
If you want to, government can still use this natural temperature variation as an excuse to take wealth for redistribution. There will be displacements and even worse after it shifts to cooling. Just be more honest about what they (you) are doing.
JR
It's not an ad hominem, just the most likely explanation for what is happening here.
I am willing to form opinions based on my meager scientific understanding and decades of following this topic.I won't debate over facts in a field neither of us has any significant expertise, training or credentials in. Any argument you can possibly come up with has been checked and dismissed at least hundreds of times by now. By people around the globe who work full time in a diverse range of scientific areas.
In fact an "evil" government scientific official proposed using RICO (anti-rakatering law) to suppress scientific dissent.There is no credible scientific opposition to the theory of anthropomorphic climate change. Since the 70s the opposing world view was propagated via a PR campaign by those with financial interests in not adressing the problem.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merchants_of_Doubt
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merchants_of_Doubt_%28film%29
"Culturally induced ignorance"... you raise the art of ad hominum to new heights...The very fact that you bring "redistribution" and the evil "government" into the discussion again speaks volumes about the motivations and thought processes involved. This is not really about warming patterns or CO2 or any other facts. This is about the evil communists trying to take your freedom away. And no amount of factual evidence, no matter how overwhelming and well researched it may be can be good enough to allow this.
There's even a scientific term for what you are doing here, it's called "agnotology":
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agnotology
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