I guessed soOK you made me look at it.... typical legislative claptrap.
Still I think it's interersting cos it names two problems that I see.
(1) What do we do for people who simply cannot earn enough?
(2) Does giving direct government subsidies to individual companies also have downsides? And is giving some subsidies to the extant they are given today still justified?
Companies hiring less people or hiring only for lower wages is pretty much status quo already (in Japan, in the EU, in the US?). Nobodoy wants to accelerate that.Taxing workers benefits will just incentivize companies to hire less such workers, just like higher minimum wage salaries are driving increasing automation in fast food (like burger flipping machines).
I think what that law in the article suggests is not taxing benefits as such but cutting down on company subsidies. And yes, you are right, it will most probably drive companies to opt for more automation faster.
That's why I mentioned taxing automation and robots -- a discussion we already had.
Japan looked very closely and skeptically at the introduction of minimum wages in several European countries. But when the practice was found and agreed upon by (so-called ) experts and politicians of toutes couleurs to not necessarily have such detrimental effects on the economy, the conservative party of Japan decided to adopt it. I wonder why.
I am not a fan of paying people to do nothing. Just like taxing stuff makes less of it, incentivizing people to not work will create more of that [...]
Paying people to do nothing is counterproductive, and yes, it's a reality in some European countries. It's the downside of laws and regulations that have been introduced in the name of solidarity to help as many people as possible, while there are a very very few who unfortunately think they have to take advantage of it. Just as you often say, there are no simple solutions. But a solution that helps a majority is better than doing nothing.
Yes, and that's why it might serve as a case in point even for the US.Japan appears to be a leader at replacing workers with robots (even robot pets).
Looking at Japan, they have said farewell to the very noton of 'student' or 'entry level jobs' -- simply because at some point, somewhere between the height of deflation and the start of QE, those jobs have become career jobs for a growing number of people. Figure a full-time job which, if you took no days off over the entire year, still only produces a yearly income that is below the poverty line. And this is a reality for too many people (I assume some 10%) in Japan with the recently introduced minimum wage in place...
In total, Japan has 40% of the employed population working in so-called 'irregular' jobs. At the same time, they are facing the most severe labour shortage in several fields since the 1960s and 70s due to demographics.
Which leads to education. Japan's educational system is pretty much the American system, and if you asked me, it has done no good to the country. Some 20% of the working population simply can't afford good education for their children in the hope that they will maybe be able to fetch a good job. What a waste of potential talent.
What's the situation in the US?
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If we collectively feel like we need to provide a minimum income to all citizens, we need to engineer this in such a way that it is neutral and doesn't impact their ability to also be employed.
There has been a test in Finland with 2,000 people dependent on state benefits. The test proved that it basically works. Those people received state benefits and were allowed to keep all income they earned by themselves. Result: everybody was eager to work even more. The problem: such system can't be financed, unless taxes increased on some other end.
Anyway, I would really like to rephrase the above into:
"we need to secure (some) people's livelihood"
Of course, minimum wage, if at all, cannot be more than one little cog in a complex system. Just as you have repeatedly pointed out, changing just one tiny thing creates a whole bunch of other problems elsewhere -- and those might even be worse. And that's exactly why I'm really with dmp on this, we probably need a whole set of new cogs...
So let's assume we collectively felt we needed to change something, what would you suggest?