Predicting a storm in a few days time is very different from predicting the weather 50 years into the future, and even the one week prognostics fail continuously, that is why you cant look further in time. It is very different to state that it will rain tomorrow, than to state that the world will be over in 50 years.
The weather prediction models they use to determine if there will be rain tomorrow are not the same models they are using to determine the climate catastrophe, and if they are, the more reason not to trust them.
That's not the point. Even Newton's law got amended. There's always a degree of uncertainty. That's essential to science. You'll never have pure, perfect truth.
It's the reaction to that uncertainty. The gross lack of respect for scientists and science shows that some people only understand fascism as logic.
Also, weather predictions don't fail continuously. They're right most of the time. I'm amazed at how precise they
usually are. That is, you have to understand that if the prediction tells you it's gonna rain, it doesn't mean it's gonna rain
exactly where you happen to be...
In fact, some of my current workforce considers me a weather oracle. Usually I know when it's gonna rain, almost to the minute.
My secret is that I read/watch the report directly, without interpretation of a news reader or TV weather celebrity. And I've been comparing with those, as a hobby. Temps on TV/radio usually are plainly wrong. They don't fi even seem to understand that it's often cooler at the coast, but routinely just report the highest numbers in summer and the lowest in winter. Some even add a bit, just for sensation, I suppose.
Nobody is even pretending to predict the weather in 50 years. Warming of the oceans is an objective number. Do you think that that rise will stop in our lifetime? Haven't you noticed polar ice caps and gletschers are melting away? Just take a look at sattellite pics over the years. Yes, these "predictions" get amended too. Rise of sea levels is higher than predicted. But it's just a very tiny bit higher...
BTW. If you really want >95% certainty, I suppose you never visit an MD. Most medical tests and most MDs don't even reach that number in half of the cases.
Oh, and another thing. The weather models used over here are
exactly the same models used to study climate in most cases. Same database, same algos in the core. It just differs in scripting and output.