yesterday's storms amounted to all of 3/4" rain... More in the forecast for today and all week...
JR
Maybe aliens are here after all...?
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JR
only 1/4" of rain overnight but the wind blew over my garbage bin that was out by the street for collection today.
the forecast today is for another severe storm risk, but they are starting to sound like chicken little.
edit- and my power blinked off briefly this morning.. I still need to reset the clock in my clock radio.../edit
JR
the forecast today is for another severe storm risk, but they are starting to sound like chicken little.
edit- and my power blinked off briefly this morning.. I still need to reset the clock in my clock radio.../edit
JR
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boji
Well-known member
Got a storm cellar JR? Stay safe.
No and it's about time to call chicken little on today's weather warning..
. I just checked again and they were forecasting 1.8" of rain today... so far not a single drop. The weather has been windy but I don't know if my trees have any more dead limbs to drop... I shouldn't tempt fate, of course they do.[edit: update I got 1/2" of rain last night /edit]
I really need to mow my grass... but the weather reports suggest more rain. I just need to give a wide berth to my rain ditches so I don't get stuck. I already got stuck once already this year. I have a come-along and long ropes, so I can winch myself out... but that is a PIA.
JR
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I was about to say something positive about weather reports. Today my go to web weather forecast called for zero rain (15% chance). My yard needed a mow, so I chanced it. I even put up my flag, despite the dark clouds and thunder rumbling in the distance. Success I managed to mow my yard without any rain.
After I cleaned up I checked my smart (really stupid) phone and it issued a severe storm alert , telling me to stay away from windows because of hail damage...
Of course no hail.... or even rain yet, but I would not be surprised to get some rain maybe sometime tonight.
JR
After I cleaned up I checked my smart (really stupid) phone and it issued a severe storm alert , telling me to stay away from windows because of hail damage...
Of course no hail.... or even rain yet, but I would not be surprised to get some rain maybe sometime tonight.
JR
living sounds
Well-known member
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Sorry about the veer but this is the internet. I did not find that video art inspiring enough to watch a youtube.
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Since buying my first motorcycle in the 70s I have paid closer attention to weather reports. I don't own a motorcycle these days but did total one car (my 93 mustang cobra) while hydroplaning during a heavy rain downpour, so I still follow weather reports.
I have a couple of general observations from decades of paying attention. 1) The "objective" reporting about weather has become better, more accurate and more specific with local radar maps. Projections based on recent objective observations are usually quite accurate in the short term. 2) alternately the verbiage used to describe forecasts of future weather trends has grown increasingly hyperbolic.
Of course forecast for too large of a geographic area can't possibly be concise. I think that explains the over abundance of smart phone alerts I get.
Checking one weather website shows a "severe thunderstorm watch" , the second more accurate weather website also cites the severe thunder storm watch (I think those are issued by some government service... NWS), but more specifically shows rain tapering off only to return this evening.
Since yesterday my rain gauge has collected roughly 3/4" and the more accurate weather website predicted 1.25" so close enough.
I can hear plenty of thunder in the region but this is typical when a stationary weather front is stalled over the region. We listen to thunder for the sonic signature of a tornado. Tornadoes reportedly sound a lot like freight trains and I live a few hundred yards from a train track, so I have lots of experience listening for the differences. The good news is that I don't live near any repeat tornado alleys (that tend to attract tornados) so I feel lucky. The only tornado I ever saw in person was as a child growing up in NJ, and that was clearly a fluke. NJ is not tornado country.
No wonder kids are anxious.... If I believed and reacted to every (dumb) smart phone warning I hear I'd be hiding in my bathtub.
[edit- 2 tornado watch warnings tonight... again the smart phone is not very /edit]
JR
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Since buying my first motorcycle in the 70s I have paid closer attention to weather reports. I don't own a motorcycle these days but did total one car (my 93 mustang cobra) while hydroplaning during a heavy rain downpour, so I still follow weather reports.
I have a couple of general observations from decades of paying attention. 1) The "objective" reporting about weather has become better, more accurate and more specific with local radar maps. Projections based on recent objective observations are usually quite accurate in the short term. 2) alternately the verbiage used to describe forecasts of future weather trends has grown increasingly hyperbolic.
Of course forecast for too large of a geographic area can't possibly be concise. I think that explains the over abundance of smart phone alerts I get.Checking one weather website shows a "severe thunderstorm watch" , the second more accurate weather website also cites the severe thunder storm watch (I think those are issued by some government service... NWS), but more specifically shows rain tapering off only to return this evening.
Since yesterday my rain gauge has collected roughly 3/4" and the more accurate weather website predicted 1.25" so close enough.
I can hear plenty of thunder in the region but this is typical when a stationary weather front is stalled over the region. We listen to thunder for the sonic signature of a tornado. Tornadoes reportedly sound a lot like freight trains and I live a few hundred yards from a train track, so I have lots of experience listening for the differences. The good news is that I don't live near any repeat tornado alleys (that tend to attract tornados) so I feel lucky. The only tornado I ever saw in person was as a child growing up in NJ, and that was clearly a fluke. NJ is not tornado country.
No wonder kids are anxious.... If I believed and reacted to every (dumb) smart phone warning I hear I'd be hiding in my bathtub.
[edit- 2 tornado watch warnings tonight... again the smart phone is not very /edit]
JR
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The ever-lasting egocentrism at work...
Weather forecasting is very accurate. But you need to take a number of things into account:
- The prediction is for a large area. That'll work for temperature and relative humidity. It might not work for rain, as that might fall elsewhere.
- Your smartphone might show more accurate results if you feed it location data. A lot of people deny that data and render predictions not so precise.
- Go to the source. Don't rely on TV or radio forecasting, as they all seem to have their own way of distorting the numbers. Over here, that mainly means they always report the highest numbers in summer and the lowest in winter. The problem with the media is they don't have location data. They just summarise for the entire country or state.
Since the people I manage atm are very dependent on the weather, as they work outside, I've been following weather forecast every day for over two years now. It's awfully precise with just one or two errors per year.
Of course, some people really like to bitch and for them it'll never be precise as they only remember the errors.
Weather forecasting is very accurate. But you need to take a number of things into account:
- The prediction is for a large area. That'll work for temperature and relative humidity. It might not work for rain, as that might fall elsewhere.
- Your smartphone might show more accurate results if you feed it location data. A lot of people deny that data and render predictions not so precise.
- Go to the source. Don't rely on TV or radio forecasting, as they all seem to have their own way of distorting the numbers. Over here, that mainly means they always report the highest numbers in summer and the lowest in winter. The problem with the media is they don't have location data. They just summarise for the entire country or state.
Since the people I manage atm are very dependent on the weather, as they work outside, I've been following weather forecast every day for over two years now. It's awfully precise with just one or two errors per year.
Of course, some people really like to bitch and for them it'll never be precise as they only remember the errors.
AnalogPackrat
Well-known member
No, current modeling is pretty accurate over smaller areas (perhaps 30x30 miles or less) a couple of days out. Some of the models do better when certain conditions prevail and sometimes they all get it wrong when there's an unusual pattern involved.
That's not necessary on any weather app or website I've ever used or for looking at National Weather Service online forecasts.
That's not how local TV forecasts are done in the US. They distill the NWS data (possibly adding analysis of their own using other model data) and present it for the region, which for most TV stations is maybe a 100 mile radius or less. There is a lot of needless hyperbole added ("worst storm in 20 years," cilmate change causation BS, and similar), but the forecasts are usually good.
So which is it? Accurate or not?
True.
At least I am learning new vocabulary when I have to look up the novel insults.
ya think?
thats why I look at radar maps that show rainfall
I mainly use the phone for texting, and two factor authentication... The smart (?) phone software is constantly trying to suck me into using other apps. Often after carrying it in my pants pocket out in my yard, I will butt dial some new app.... I find if I don't give them my CC# they leave me alone.
I generally try to avoid my local TV news, because it reminds me that I live in nowhere MS. The nearby station has invested in sophisticated weather (doppler) radar and have probably licensed fancy weather forecast animations from some other service.
I have been following weather reports closely for several decades. As I already shared It has generally gotten a lot better in multiple ways, but more scary lately with increasingly hyperbolic forecasts.
Reading a recent issue of the WSJ I noticed three different articles that made inaccurate attributions about climate change, wrt three completely different industries.
I just get irritated by all the loud chicken little sky is falling alerts coming from my phone (four or five just this week). I can leave it turned off even more. Funny my land line doesn't ring for weather reports.
Last nights tornado warning (warning means one or more have actually been spotted) was not totally crazy. The subject tornado touched down and did damage roughly 25 miles south west of me. But for tornados, 25 miles away is like being in a different time zone. I did hear hours of rolling thunder. I can actually sleep through the distant thunder, no nearby lightning strikes last night.
JR
PS: I'm old so expected to be cranky, I try not to dissapoint....
many older people are conservative as taught by life. Being cranky is often precipitated by people in my environment.
is this a new insult? Be nicer.
This is time consuming having to search your vague acronyms.
MTG= "Magic the Gathering"
MTG= Marjorie Taylor Green...
I will speculate you are referring to Representative Green a republican member of the oversight committee.
Why would you watch her? I don't.
JR
Understandable when I see a previous pattern of insults.
Are you suggesting that you were being positive or complementary?
JR
Of course Marjorie Taylor Greene.
I also wouldn't call that acronym vague, as it's allover the media. Besides, what would Magic, the gathering be doing in this thread?
Trying to understand the mind of those who still hang on to MAGA (I hope you know this acronym) and Trump.
MTG is best comedy ever. Especially now. Trump isn't funny anymore. He's just a scared old man. A bit shameful to watch even. Definitely no fun, since everyone in his camp is dropping him as fast as possible. Well, maybe except Marjorie. I really hope he doesn't have to go to jail for being the idiot he's showing to be.
I'm just observing. Not much positive to see, really. And I'm not even observing US politics, but Google and YouTube.
Since a few weeks, I get lots of propaganda from both sides as YT suggestions. I don't care for those, but I do measure how often each of the sides appear. It's not equal, but not far apart either. Only the Republican propaganda is of such an idiotic level, it's comedy. The other side is often annoying, but at least they make sense, sometimes. It's a bit of a chore telling YT I don't want to see those. I much prefer vids about audio, mics, electronics, or even cars or animals.
consider that we both live in different media echo chambers, Rep Greene is not on a continuous loop, while she is getting more air time since filing a second impeachment bill, so far dismissed by speaker as premature.
I don't expect that is possible if we have a different enough history and life experience.
None of this is funny, politics is embarrassing, and the insulting argumentative tendencies, have overflowed into unrelated threads, we need a group hug.
there you go... I avoid both when possible but it is difficult.
Why watch? I am watching less news these days because politics has become the free loading relative who refuses to leave.
JR
Why Watch?
Because it's the content the average American gets to see every day. For the same reason I sometimes watch Russian propaganda. But there isn't as much of it on Youtube. Russian vloggers seem to be depressed after the Wagner stunt.
If you want to be an objective observer, you need to see both sides. In the case of the US, it's rather simple, as there are only two sides. In the case of Russia, it's not so simple.
Because it's the content the average American gets to see every day. For the same reason I sometimes watch Russian propaganda. But there isn't as much of it on Youtube. Russian vloggers seem to be depressed after the Wagner stunt.
If you want to be an objective observer, you need to see both sides. In the case of the US, it's rather simple, as there are only two sides. In the case of Russia, it's not so simple.
Stunt?
I don't think the average American watches youtube for news, while google has a grip on the public information flow. A large fraction of the public ignores the political sturm und drang.
I occasionally watch my local news program (for specific weather reports). It is a sorry reminder to me of where I live. I feel for the people who use that as a primary news source. It is an ABC affiliate, so they get the Disney magic spin and selective news presentation.
That's easy... I get the democratic perspective right here.
JR
According to Google translate that's an English word. In case you've missed it, I was referring to Wagner's mercenaries advancing towards Moscow.
There's a lot of vids that are TV shows or news from MSNBC, Fox and most of the US TV networks. And you'd be amazed how many people watch those. It's not uncommon to have ten thousand views in an hour. Most of these channels are official TV network channels, but their content also gets reposted with comments.
What's interesting to me, is how YT decides what to put on my suggestions page. Up till a few months ago, there was very little about US politics. Cooking, cars science and audio are my YT interests. Though there's little about real science and audio on YT.
another zing.... I am questioning the characterization of the Wagner group advancing towards Moscow as a "stunt". Do you know what that word means?
that is not a lot when popular networks get millions of prime time viewers
I dislike AI suggestions. My streaming video source thinks I like ghost movies.
JR
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